2024 U.S. Presidential Election Center
Essential Public Opinion Indicators for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election
Investigate Â鶹´«Ã½AV's trends on American public sentiment related to the 2024 presidential election.
Metrics That Matter
Explore decades of trends on key indicators of public sentiment related to the 2024 election and see how current attitudes compare to past elections.
Â鶹´«Ã½AV will update these indicators regularly ahead of Election Day 2024.
Browse our latest insights on Election 2024.
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Incumbent Presidential Job Approval
01 Incumbent Presidential Job Approval Current president's job approval ratingU.S. Satisfaction
02 U.S. Satisfaction Public satisfaction with the way things are going in the countryEconomic Confidence
03 Economic Confidence Americans' assessments of the economy01 Incumbent Presidential Job Approval
Metric Overview: This indicator shows the percentage of Americans approving of the incumbent president's job performance.
Why This Matters: Job approval ratings close to Election Day are highly predictive of whether incumbent presidents are reelected.
02 U.S. Satisfaction
Metric Overview: This indicator shows the percentage of Americans satisfied with the country's current direction. U.S. satisfaction is a key measure of the public's desire for change in an upcoming election.
Why This Matters: Low satisfaction levels may signal a public desire for changes in leadership.
03 Economic Confidence
Metric Overview: This measure combines Americans' views on current economic conditions and their view of the economy's direction to produce an index value ranging from +100 (optimal confidence) to -100 (complete pessimism).
Why This Matters: Voters often look to the economy when assessing how the nation is doing and how well elected leaders are performing their jobs. The economy is usually one of the top election issues.
04 Economic Concern
Metric Overview: This tracks Americans' mentions of the economy when asked to name, in their own words, the most important problem facing the country.
Why This Matters: The percentage of Americans citing economic issues as the most important problem is a good indicator of the importance of the U.S. economy as an election issue.
05 Party Affiliation
Metric Overview: This indicator shows the percentage of U.S. adults identifying as or leaning Democratic minus the percentage identifying as or leaning Republican. These party trends date back to 1992 when Â鶹´«Ã½AV began routinely asking independents the "leaner" question.
Why This Matters: The size of the Democratic advantage offers a view of potential voting patterns in presidential elections.
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