Americans' Retirement Outlook Largely Intact

Story Highlights

Most still expect to rely on Social Security, 401(k) for retirement
Slightly more say part-time work will supply some income
Non-retirees still expect to retire at age 66, on average

WASHINGTON, D.C. -- Nonretired Americans' expectations for what their income sources will be in retirement are broadly similar to a year ago. Most say they will rely to varying degrees on Social Security, retirement savings accounts, regular savings accounts or CDs, and part-time work. Solid majorities also foresee depending to some extent on home equity and individual stock investments.

U.S. Nonretirees' Expectations for Sources of Retirement Income -- % Major/Minor Source

When you retire, how much do you expect to rely on each of the following sources of money -- will it be a major source of income, a minor source of income, or not a source at all?

	Apr 2-11, 2018	Apr 1-9, 2019	Apr 1-14, 2020
	%	%	%
Social Security	84	83	88
A 401(k), IRA, Keogh or other retirement savings account	74	80	80
Other savings such as a regular savings account or CDs	67	68	73
Part-time work	65	64	70
The equity you have built up in your home	60	64	63
Individual stock or stock mutual fund investments	52	58	62
A work sponsored pension plan	45	49	51
Annuities or insurance plans	37	40	41
Money from an inheritance	34	39	35
Rent and royalties	34	36	32
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Still, non-retirees today may be counting a bit more than they did last year on certain income sources. This includes a six-percentage-point increase, (from 64% to 70%) in those saying part-time work will be a major or minor source of retirement income for them and five-point increases in expected reliance on Social Security (from 83% to 88%) and personal savings accounts or CDs (from 68% to 73%).

Meanwhile, despite the recent economic slowdown and stock market decline stemming from the coronavirus, Americans are no less likely than they were a year ago to foresee relying on home equity, individual stock investments, money from an inheritance or rental/royalty income. And they are no more likely to anticipate relying on a pension or annuities or insurance plans.

These findings are from the 2020 installment of 麻豆传媒AV's annual Economy and Personal Finance survey, conducted April 1-14.

Americans Don't Yet Foresee Delaying Retirement

Another indication that the COVID-19 economy isn't rattling consumers' long-term financial outlook comes from non-retirees' estimate of the age at which they expect to retire, currently averaging 66. This is similar to the average expected age of retirement recorded each year since 2009.

The figure was typically below age 65 in prior years, in part reflecting the lower age at which Americans were eligible for their full Social Security benefits. The age of eligibility has been increasing according to a schedule Congress passed in 1983.

Line graph. Trend from 1995 to 2020 in average age at which nonretired Americans expect to retire. Now 66% up from 60% in 1995.

Income Sources of Retired Americans

The same poll asks retired Americans about their current reliance on the same 10 retirement income sources.

While self-reports of most income sources did not change in the past year, there has been a slight decrease since 2019 in those relying on individual stock or stock mutual fund investments. Retired Americans also report increased reliance on personal savings and pensions. The current levels are, however, similar to 2018, so it is unclear if the latest changes reflect financial pressure on seniors from the COVID-19 crisis, or just normal year-to-year variation given the smaller sample size of retirees.

U.S. Retirees' Sources of Retirement Income -- % Major/Minor Source

How much do you rely on each of the following sources of income today -- is it a major source of income, a minor source of income, or not a source at all?

	Apr 2-11, 2018	Apr 1-9, 2019	Apr 1-14, 2020
	%	%	%
Social Security	90	90	89
A work sponsored pension plan	57	49	63
A 401(k), IRA, Keogh or other retirement savings account	61	61	62
Other savings such as a regular savings account or CDs	59	48	60
The equity you have built up in your home	48	47	46
Individual stock or stock mutual fund investments	45	48	41
Annuities or insurance plans	29	35	33
Rent and royalties	18	22	26
Money from an inheritance	22	19	21
Part-time work	18	21	21
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Bottom Line

With most Americans still retaining their jobs and taking no hit to their income, many have yet to personally experience the economic effects of the COVID-19 crisis. As a result, their ratings of their current financial situation are down only slightly. And their concern about having enough money for retirement is up only slightly.

Americans express far more concern about their future finances, with the majority now saying their financial situation is getting worse rather than better. Also, a quarter of workers now think they could lose their job in the next year, up sharply from 8% a year ago. Should this pessimism prove correct as the COVID-19 crisis persists, people's options for funding retirement may look very different. In the meantime, Americans' expectations for their retirement income are largely intact.

View complete question responses and trends (PDF download).

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