麻豆传媒AV

WASHINGTON, D.C. -- The public's overall mood has soured since 麻豆传媒AV's post-election measure in November. Specifically, satisfaction with the direction of the country and views of economic conditions in the U.S. have worsened significantly.

So, too, has Congress' job approval rating, which, at 15%, is the lowest of the 116^th Congress. President Donald Trump's job approval rating has fallen to 39% -- down seven percentage points from before the election. In contrast, nearly two-thirds of Americans approve of the way Joe Biden is handling his presidential transition.

	Nov 5-19, 2020	Dec 1-17, 2020
% Satisfaction with direction of U.S.	21	16
% Congressional job approval	23	15
% Donald Trump's job approval	43	39
% Joe Biden's transition approval	NA	65
Economic Confidence Index	-1 points	-16 points
GALLUP

The latest Dec. 1-17 麻豆传媒AV poll was conducted as COVID-19 cases continued to surge in the U.S., Congress attempted to negotiate another economic relief bill with no success and Trump refused to acknowledge Joe Biden's victory in the presidential election.

The coronavirus is cited as the most important problem in the country by 33% of Americans outpacing mentions of government or poor leadership (20%) and the economy (10%).

Americans' Satisfaction With U.S. Direction Drops Further

Overall, 16% of U.S. adults are now satisfied with the direction of the country. This is the second consecutive month that satisfaction has fallen. It was as high as 45% in February, but it declined as the pandemic took hold in the U.S., hitting a low point of 13% in July and August. After a brief preelection rebound, satisfaction is dropping again.

This overall decline is driven primarily by Republicans, whose satisfaction fell from 60% in 麻豆传媒AV's final preelection measure in October to 22% in the most recent poll, likely a reaction to the election outcome. Independents' satisfaction dropped more modestly to 14%, while Democrats have become slightly more satisfied than they were in October and November. Still, Democrats' satisfaction is 10 points below Republicans'.

	Oct-20	Nov-20	Dec-20
	%	%	%
Republicans	60	35	22
Independents	21	22	14
Democrats	3	7	12
GALLUP

Presidential Job Approval Down Seven Points Since Election

The president's job approval rating is the lowest it has been since June when it fell sharply amid protests nationwide about racial injustice following George Floyd's death while in police custody. Heading into the election, Trump's approval rating was 46%, just three points shy of his personal highest. It dipped three points shortly after the election and another four points since then.

The president's legal team and his allies have alleged fraud and contested the election results in dozens of lawsuits, including one that went before the U.S. Supreme Court. Thus far, none of the lawsuits have resulted in overturned election results; his defeat was affirmed by the Electoral College on Dec. 14, and Trump has not conceded the election to Biden.

Trump joins Jimmy Carter as whose approval ratings fell after failing to win reelection. By contrast, Gerald Ford and George H.W. Bush saw their ratings rise after voters denied them a second presidential term

Trump's approval rating has fallen seven and eight points, respectively, among Republicans and independents since 麻豆传媒AV's final preelection readings in October. Currently, 87% of Republicans, 34% of independents and 6% of Democrats approve of his job performance.

	Oct-20	Nov-20	Dec-20
	%	%	%
Republicans	95	90	87
Independents	41	39	34
Democrats	3	3	6
GALLUP

Approval of Biden's Transition Higher Than Trump's, Lower than Obama's

Since being projected as the winner of the presidential election on Nov. 8, Biden has named many of his aides and Cabinet nominees; 65% of Americans, including 96% of Democrats, 67% of independents and 23% of Republicans, approve of the way he is handling his presidential transition.

Biden's transition approval is on par with the ratings garnered by Bill Clinton in 1992 and George W. Bush in 2001, but significantly lower than Barack Obama's in 2008 and significantly higher than Trump's in 2016. Partisans' ratings of Biden's transition are less polarized than those for Clinton and Bush but similar to those for Trump. Obama received the highest rating for his transition -- 75%, which included majorities across party lines.

	Dates	U.S. adults	Democrats	Independents	Republicans
		%	%	%	%
Joe Biden	Dec 1-17, 2020	65	96	67	23
Donald Trump	Dec 7-11, 2016	48	17	46	86
Barack Obama	Dec 12-14, 2008	75	93	75	53
George W. Bush	Jan 5-7, 2001	65	46	59	93
Bill Clinton	Dec 18-20, 1992	67	83	64	50
Based on December readings except for Bush in Jan. after he was named the winner in mid-December
GALLUP

Congressional Approval Lowest for 116^th Congress

Congressional approval reached its highest point in 11 years (31%) in the spring after the passage of a COVID-19 economic relief bill. With the coronavirus situation now worsening in the U.S. and many Americans suffering financially, Congress' inability to reach a deal on another pandemic aid package at the time of the poll may be behind the public's sharply lower approval rating this month.

While approval has fluctuated since the high in May, it rose to 23% after the election, only to drop eight points in the latest reading. The current 15% approval rating is the worst (by two points) for the 116^th Congress, which was convened on January 3, 2019, and will conclude on January 3, 2021. It still ranks ahead of the all-time low of 9% measured in November 2013.

Partisans' ratings of Congress are similar -- 18% of Republicans, 16% of independents and 11% of Democrats approve. That has been the typical pattern this year, likely because of the split party control of the House of Representatives and the Senate.

Economic Views Worsen in December

麻豆传媒AV regularly tracks Americans' perceptions of national economic conditions as excellent, good, only fair or poor and whether the economy is getting better or getting worse. The combined answers are used to create the 麻豆传媒AV Economic Confidence Index, which has a theoretical range of +100 (if all respondents say the economy is excellent or good and that it is getting better) to -100 (if all say it is poor and getting worse).

This year started with a +40 reading, but the negative economic effects of the pandemic resulted in a -33 reading in May amid widespread closures nationwide. U.S. consumers' views of the nation's economy had been gradually improving since then, but the latest reading marks a sharp reversal of that trend. Between November and December, the index fell 15 points to -16, thereby erasing all improvements since August.

The decline in ECI is largely owed to a six-point uptick to 29% of Americans rating the economy as poor since last month coupled with a nine-point jump in the percentage saying the economy is getting worse to 64%, a level last seen in May.

The drop in economic confidence is largely a function of many fewer Republicans (64% from 49%) and independents (22% from 38%) this month than last month, saying the economy is getting better, perhaps looking ahead to the change in presidential administration. Democrats' opinions are essentially unchanged (21% in December and 18% in November).

Bottom Line

Although the president is not acknowledging the election outcome, many Republicans appear to be as their views of the economy and satisfaction with the direction of the country have worsened in the last month. The lack of a concession from Trump has not hampered views of President-elect Biden as nearly two in three Americans approve of the way he is handling his transition. This is fairly typical for past presidents-elect.

Lower economic confidence this month could stifle consumer spending as Christmas approaches.

Explore President Trump's approval ratings and compare them with those of past presidents in the 麻豆传媒AV Presidential Job Approval Center.

View complete question responses and trends (PDF download).

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