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Â鶹´«Ã½AV Database: 2006 Survey Results

Â鶹´«Ã½AV Database: 2006 Survey Results

If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your Congressional district -- [ROTATE: 1) The Democratic Party's candidate or 2) The Republican Party's candidate]?

As of today, do you lean more toward -- [ROTATE: 1) The Democratic Party's candidate or 2) The Republican Party's candidate]?

 

Democratic
candidate

Republican
candidate

Undecided/
other

%

%

%

Likely Voters

2006 Nov 2-5

51

44

5

2006 Oct 20-22

54

41

5

2006 Oct 6-8

59

36

5

2006 Sep 15-17

48

48

4

Registered Voters

2006 Nov 2-5

51

40

9

2006 Oct 20-22

53

38

9

2006 Oct 6-8

58

35

8

2006 Sep 15-17

51

42

8

2006 Sep 7-10

53

41

7

2006 Aug 18-20

47

45

7

2006 Aug 7-10

50

41

9

2006 Jul 28-30

51

40

8

2006 Jul 6-9

51

41

9

2006 Jun 23-25

54

38

7

2006 Jun 9-11

51

39

10

2006 Jun 1-4

51

42

7

2006 Apr 28-30

54

39

7

2006 Apr 7-9

52

42

6

2006 Mar 10-12

55

39

7

2006 Feb 28-Mar 1

53

39

7

2006 Feb 9-12

50

43

8

2006 Jan 6-8

49

43

8

2005 Oct 21-23

50

43

7

2005 Aug 28-30

53

41

6

National Adults

2006 Nov 2-5

51

38

11

2006 Oct 20-22

52

37

11

2006 Oct 6-8

57

34

9

2006 Sep 15-17

49

42

10

2006 Sep 7-10

53

40

7

2006 Aug 18-20

48

43

9

2006 Aug 7-10

50

40

10

2006 Jul 28-30

52

39

9

2006 Jul 6-9

49

39

11

2006 Jun 23-25

55

36

8

2006 Jun 9-11

52

38

10

2006 Jun 1-4

51

40

9

2006 Apr 28-30

53

38

9

2006 Apr 7-9

53

40

7

2006 Mar 10-12

54

38

8

2006 Feb 28-Mar 1

52

39

10

2006 Feb 9-12

49

42

9

2006 Jan 6-8

49

42

9

2005 Oct 21-23

50

42

8

2005 Aug 28-30

52

41

7

Regular Voters

2006 Nov 2-5

51

43

6

2006 Oct 20-22

48

44

8

2006 Oct 6-8

52

42

6

2006 Sep 15-17

49

45

7

2006 Sep 7-10

53

43

4

2006 Aug 18-20

48

48

4

2006 Aug 7-10

N/A

N/A

N/A

2006 Jul 28-30

50

42

7

2006 Jul 6-9

51

42

7

2006 Jun 23-25

55

38

7

2006 Jun 9-11

49

44

7

2006 Jun 1-4

55

40

5

2006 Apr 28-30

53

44

3

2006 Apr 7-9

51

44

5

NOTE: Regular voters are defined as registered voters who say they "always vote" and who say they voted in the last mid-term election. The regular voter sample consists of 532 respondents and has a margin of sampling error of ±5 percentage points.



How much thought have you given to the upcoming elections for Congress -- quite a lot, or only a little?

 

 

Quite
a lot

SOME
(vol.)

Only
a little


None

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2006 Nov 2-5

50

5

38

6

1

2006 Oct 20-22

44

6

43

6

1

2006 Oct 6-8

38

4

50

7

1

2006 Sep 15-17

34

5

53

8

1

2006 Jun 23-25

37

4

56

3

*

2006 Apr 7-9

25

3

66

5

1



Compared to previous elections, are you more enthusiastic about voting than usual, or less enthusiastic?

Trend for Mid-Term Elections

 

More
enthusiastic

Less
enthusiastic


Same (vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

National Adults

2006 Nov 2-5

46

36

16

3

2006 Oct 6-8

43

46

10

1

2006 Sep 7-10

42

46

10

2

2006 Aug 18-20

39

43

16

3

2006 Jun 23-25

50

36

13

1

2006 Apr 28-30

44

42

13

1

2006 Apr 7-9

40

46

12

2

2006 Jan 6-8

45

39

14

1

2002 Oct 31-Nov 3

38

45

14

3

1998 Oct 29-Nov 1

37

46

14

3

1998 Oct 23-25

35

47

16

2

1998 Oct 9-12

35

47

16

2

1998 Aug 21-23

38

41

17

4

1998 Apr 17-19

30

48

19

3

1994 Nov 2-6

38

48

13

2

1994 Oct 7-9

34

46

18

2

Republicans/Republican Leaners

2006 Nov 2-5

44

36

18

2

2006 Oct 6-8

39

47

14

*

2006 Sep 7-10

40

47

11

1

2006 Aug 18-20

36

40

22

2

2006 Jun 23-25

43

35

21

*

2006 Apr 28-30

38

46

15

1

2006 Apr 7-9

33

47

18

2

2006 Jan 6-8

47

32

20

1

2002 Oct 31-Nov 3

42

42

15

1

1998 Oct 29-Nov 1

39

46

14

1

1998 Oct 23-25

44

39

16

1

1998 Oct 9-12

45

36

17

2

1998 Aug 21-23

42

39

17

2

1998 Apr 17-19

31

48

19

2

1994 Nov 2-6

44

44

11

1

1994 Oct 7-9

40

42

18

*

Democrats/Democratic Leaners

2006 Nov 2-5

53

33

12

2

2006 Oct 6-8

48

43

7

1

2006 Sep 7-10

47

42

9

2

2006 Aug 18-20

46

43

9

2

2006 Jun 23-25

56

35

8

1

2006 Apr 28-30

50

37

12

1

2006 Apr 7-9

48

43

8

1

2006 Jan 6-8

48

44

7

1

2002 Oct 31-Nov 3

38

46

13

3

1998 Oct 29-Nov 1

39

44

15

2

1998 Oct 23-25

32

51

16

1

1998 Oct 9-12

41

45

13

1

1998 Aug 21-23

37

41

18

4

1998 Apr 17-19

31

48

19

2

1994 Nov 2-6

35

50

14

1

1994 Oct 7-9

29

50

18

3

Registered Voters

2006 Nov 2-5

49

33

16

1

2006 Oct 6-8

45

44

10

1

2006 Sep 7-10

44

44

10

1

2006 Aug 18-20

42

40

16

2

2006 Jun 23-25

49

36

14

1

2006 Apr 28-30

46

39

14

1

2006 Apr 7-9

42

44

13

1

2006 Jan 6-8

46

37

15

1

2002 Oct 31-Nov 3

41

42

15

2

1998 Oct 29-Nov 1

41

43

15

1

1998 Oct 23-25

37

44

18

1

1998 Oct 9-12

45

38

16

1

1998 Aug 21-23

39

39

19

3

1998 Apr 17-19

31

47

20

2

1994 Nov 2-6

40

45

14

1

1994 Oct 7-9

34

44

20

2



Thinking ahead to your vote in the elections for Congress this November, what will make the biggest difference in how you vote for Congress in your district -- [ROTATED: national issues, local or state issues, the candidate's character and experience, (or) the candidate's political party]?

 


National issues

Local/ state issues

Character/ experience


Political party


Other (vol.)


No
opinion

Â鶹´«Ã½AV Poll

Likely Voters

2006 Nov 2-5

39

20

23

13

3

3

2006 Oct 20-22

43

24

18

12

2

1

2002 Oct 31-Nov 3

27

27

32

10

1

3

2002 Oct 21-22

33

24

34

5

1

3

Registered Voters

2006 Nov 2-5

37

24

22

11

3

4

2006 Oct 20-22

37

29

19

11

1

3

2002 Oct 31-Nov 3

26

31

31

8

1

3

2002 Oct 21-22

30

29

31

6

1

3

National Adults

2006 Nov 2-5

35

25

21

11

3

6

2006 Oct 20-22

38

29

18

10

2

3

2002 Oct 31-Nov 3

25

31

30

8

2

4

2002 Oct 21-22

30

31

28

6

1

4

Pew Research Center

Registered Voters

2006 Sep 6-10

29

33

27

5

1

5

2006 Jun 14-19

30

26

33

6

2

3

2002 Jun 19-23

26

30

33

5

2

4

2000 Oct 4-8

21

42

21

9

1

6

2000 Jul 19-23

18

40

32

6

1

3

1998 Oct 28-31

20

39

27

5

3

6

1998 Oct 14-18

23

36

28

7

1

5

1998 Aug 27-Sep 8

22

34

33

5

2

4

1998 Jun 4-8

22

37

32

4

1

4

1998 Mar 25-29

18

37

35

6

1

3

1996 Oct 31-Nov 2

23

38

25

6

2

6

1996 Oct 14-20

19

45

26

7

1

2

1996 Sep 25-29

25

38

24

6

2

5

1996 Sep 5-8

18

42

30

6

1

3

CNN/Time

National Adults

2002 May 22-23

32

30

26

7

--

5

Times Mirror/PSRA

Registered Voters

1994 Nov 3-5

22

38

30

5

1

4

1994 Oct 20-24

22

38

29

3

3

5



Will your vote for a candidate be made in order to send a message that you SUPPORT George W. Bush, be made in order to send a message that you OPPOSE George W. Bush, or will you NOT be sending a message about George W. Bush with your vote?

 


Message to support


Message to oppose



Not a message

Don't plan to vote (vol.)



No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

Likely Voters

George W. Bush

2006 Nov 2-5

20

36

42

*

2

2002 Oct 31-Nov 3

35

18

45

1

1

Bill Clinton

(LV) 1998 Oct 29-Nov 1

23

23

52

*

2

(LV) 1998 Oct 23-25

24

22

52

--

2

(LV) 1998 Sep 23-25

25

20

53

*

2

(LV) 1998 Sep 11-12

22

19

58

--

1

Registered Voters

George W. Bush

2006 Nov 2-5

18

31

46

1

4

2002 Oct 31-Nov 3

28

15

53

1

3

Bill Clinton

(RV) 1998 Oct 29-Nov 1

24

19

54

1

2

(RV) 1998 Oct 23-25

24

20

53

1

2

(RV) 1998 Sep 23-25

24

18

55

1

2

(RV) 1998 Sep 11-12

20

17

60

1

2

National Adults

George W. Bush

2006 Nov 2-5

17

30

46

2

4

2002 Oct 31-Nov 3

28

15

53

1

3

Bill Clinton

(NA) 1998 Oct 29-Nov 1

23

18

54

3

2

(NA) 1998 Oct 23-25

23

19

52

4

2

(NA) 1998 Sep 23-24

24

17

55

2

2

(NA) 1998 Sep 11-12

20

16

61

1

2

1998 WORDING: What effect, if any, will the Monica Lewinsky matter have on your vote for Congress in November? Will your vote for a candidate be made in order to send a message that you SUPPORT Bill Clinton, be made in order to send a message that you OPPOSE Bill Clinton, or will you NOT be sending a message about Bill Clinton with your vote?



Do you think the country would be better off if the Republicans controlled Congress, if the Democrats controlled Congress, or would the country be the same regardless of which party controlled Congress?

 


Republicans


Democrats

Same
regardless

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2006 Nov 2-5

25

34

35

6

2006 Jun 23-25

18

32

48

3

2004 Mar 5-7

25

31

39

5

2002 Nov 8-10

28

22

47

3

2002 Oct 31-Nov 3

25

27

42

6

1998 Oct 23-25

24

22

48

6



Would you say most of the television commercials that you have seen for candidates for political office this year are -- [ROTATED: extremely positive, very positive, somewhat positive, somewhat negative, very negative, (or) extremely negative]?

 


Extremely positive


Very positive

Somewhat positive

Somewhat negative


Very negative


Extremely negative



No
opinion

2006 Nov 2-5

1%

2

12

28

22

27

8

2006 Oct 6-8

1%

3

22

35

16

12

11

2002 Oct 21-22

2%

3

30

31

17

10

7



In this year's election campaign -- has any Republican called upon you personally or telephoned to try to get you to vote for Republican candidates?

 


Yes, in person


Yes, by telephone


Yes,
both

No, not called upon


No
opinion

Likely Voters

2006 Nov 2-5

4%

32

6

57

2

Registered Voters

2006 Nov 2-5

3%

25

4

66

3

National Adults

2006 Nov 2-5

3%

22

4

68

3



In this year's election campaign -- has any Democrat called upon you personally or telephoned to try to get you to vote for Democratic candidates?

 


Yes, in person


Yes, by telephone

Yes, both (vol.)

No, not called upon


No
opinion

Likely Voters

2006 Nov 2-5

4%

33

5

56

3

Registered Voters

2006 Nov 2-5

3%

24

4

66

3

National Adults

2006 Nov 2-5

2%

23

4

68

3



[COMBINED RESPONSES]

 


Contacted
by both

Contacted by Republicans only

Contacted by Democrats only


Not contacted
by either



No
opinion

Likely Voters

2006 Nov 2-5

27%

15

15

42

2

Registered Voters

2006 Nov 2-5

20%

12

12

54

3

National Adults

2006 Nov 2-5

18%

11

10

58

3



Please tell me whether you think each of the following political office-holders deserves to be reelected, or not. How about -- [ROTATED]?

A. The U.S. Representative in your Congressional District

 

Yes, deserves

No, does not

No opinion

%

%

%

National Adults

2006 Oct 20-22

53

31

16

2006 Oct 6-8

55

28

17

2006 Jun 23-25

61

24

14

2006 Apr 28-30

59

26

15

2006 Jan 6-8

60

27

13

2005 Oct 21-23

63

24

13

2004 Oct 14-16

62

21

17

2003 Oct 10-12

64

22

14

2002 Sep 20-22

64

19

17

2002 Apr 29-May 1

66

18

16

2001 Aug 24-26

64

20

16

2000 Jan 7-10

67

15

18

1998 Oct 9-12

68

16

16

1998 Apr 17-19

64

19

17

1997 Oct 27-29

62

18

20

1997 Aug 22-25

63

21

16

1996 May 9-12

65

22

13

1996 Jan 12-15

62

21

17

1994 Nov 2-6

53

29

18

1994 Oct 22-25

54

30

16

1994 Oct 18-19

57

29

14

1994 Oct 7-9

54

29

17

1994 Jul 15-17

60

27

13

1994 Mar 25-27

60

23

17

1994 Feb 26-28

59

28

13

1993 Dec 17-19

59

26

15

1993 Nov 2-4

62

19

19

1993 Jul 19-21

58

25

17

1991 Nov

58

25

17

Registered Voters

2006 Oct 20-22

54

33

14

2006 Oct 6-8

57

28

14

2006 Jun 23-25

62

25

13

2006 Apr 28-30

59

26

14

2006 Jan 6-8

62

26

12

2005 Oct 21-23

65

24

11

2004 Oct 14-16

63

21

16

2003 Oct 10-12

65

24

11

2002 Sep 20-22

67

19

14

2002 Apr 29-May 1

67

19

14

2001 Aug 24-26

67

20

13

2000 Sep 11-13

66

19

15

2000 Jan 7-10

70

16

14

1998 Oct 9-12

69

17

14

1998 Apr 17-19

65

21

14

1994 Nov 2-6

54

30

16

1994 Oct 22-25

55

32

13

1994 Oct 7-9

55

30

15

1994 Jul 15-17

61

28

11

1994 Mar 25-27

60

23

17

1994 Feb 26-28

59

28

13

1992 Oct 23-25

48

30

22

1992 Sep 11-15

54

25

21

1992 Jul 31-Aug 2

61

25

14

1992 Apr 20-22

50

31

19

1992 Apr 9-12

58

29

13

1992 Mar 20-22

56

30

14

1992 Jan 31-Feb 2

64

24

12

1992 Jan 3-9

61

25

14

Likely Voters

2006 Oct 20-22

54

38

8

2006 Oct 6-8

59

33

8

2002 Sep 20-22

74

18

8

2000 Sep 11-13

70

20

10

2000 Jan 7-10

75

15

10

1996 Oct 27-28

62

19

19



B. Most members of Congress

 

Yes, deserves

No, does not

No opinion

%

%

%

National Adults

2006 Oct 20-22

39

51

10

2006 Oct 6-8

39

49

11

2006 Jun 23-25

39

50

12

2006 Apr 28-30

37

52

11

2006 Jan 6-8

42

47

11

2005 Oct 21-23

45

44

11

2004 Oct 14-16

51

33

16

2003 Oct 10-12

51

35

14

2002 Sep 20-22

57

28

15

2002 Apr 29-May 1

58

22

20

2001 Aug 24-26

51

31

18

2000 Jan 7-10

55

31

14

1998 Oct 9-12

58

26

16

1998 Apr 17-19

56

28

16

1997 Oct 27-29

50

29

21

1997 Aug 22-25

56

27

17

1996 May 9-12

50

35

15

1996 Jan 12-15

47

38

15

1994 Nov 2-6

39

45

16

1994 Oct 22-25

43

44

13

1994 Oct 18-19

44

42

14

1994 Oct 7-9

37

48

15

1994 Jul 15-17

41

43

16

1994 Mar 25-27

46

38

16

1994 Feb 26-28

42

44

14

1993 Dec 17-19

38

47

15

1993 Jul 19-21

39

46

15

1991 Nov

38

48

14

Registered Voters

2006 Oct 20-22

38

52

10

2006 Oct 20-22

54

33

14

2006 Oct 6-8

39

50

11

2006 Jun 23-25

38

51

11

2006 Apr 28-30

38

53

10

2006 Jan 6-8

43

47

10

2005 Oct 21-23

46

44

10

2004 Oct 14-16

51

34

15

2003 Oct 10-12

50

37

13

2002 Sep 20-22

57

29

14

2002 Apr 29-May 1

57

24

19

2001 Aug 24-26

52

30

18

2000 Sep 11-13

54

30

16

2000 Jan 7-10

56

31

13

1998 Oct 9-12

58

27

15

1998 Apr 17-19

55

29

16

1994 Nov 2-6

38

47

15

1994 Oct 22-25

43

45

12

1994 Oct 7-9

37

49

14

1994 Jul 15-17

40

46

14

1994 Mar 25-27

46

38

16

1994 Feb 26-28

42

44

14

1992 Oct 23-25

29

50

21

1992 Sep 11-15

32

46

22

1992 Jul 31 Aug 2

40

46

14

1992 Apr 20-22

33

50

17

1992 Apr 9-12

32

53

15

1992 Mar 20-22

31

58

11

1992 Jan 31-Feb 2

43

43

14

1992 Jan 3-9

43

42

15

Likely Voters

2006 Oct 20-22

33

58

9

2006 Oct 20-22

54

38

8

2006 Oct 6-8

33

57

9

2002 Sep 20-22

57

31

12

2000 Sep 11-13

55

32

13

2000 Jan 7-10

57

31

12

1996 Oct 27-28

55

26

19



How motivated do you feel to get out and vote this year -- extremely motivated, very motivated, somewhat motivated, not too motivated or not at all motivated?

 

Extremely motivated

Very motivated

Somewhat motivated

Not too motivated

Not at all motivated

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

%

National Adults

2006 Oct 20-22

45

25

15

5

9

1

2006 Sep 15-17

39

25

21

7

7

1

2006 Jun 23-25

44

27

19

5

5

*

2002 Oct 3-6

30

25

23

10

11

1

1998 Oct 29-Nov 1

28

25

25

9

12

1

1998 Oct 23-25

28

23

26

10

12

1

1998 Oct 9-12

27

26

28

9

9

1

1998 Sep 23-24

31

30

22

8

8

1

Republicans

2006 Oct 20-22

50

28

14

3

4

1

2006 Sep 15-17

42

28

21

5

3

1

2006 Jun 23-25

44

30

19

5

*

1

2002 Oct 3-6

37

28

19

10

5

1

1998 Oct 29-Nov 1

31

28

26

7

7

1

1998 Oct 23-25

36

31

20

7

5

1

1998 Oct 9-12

31

28

26

9

4

2

1998 Sep 23-24

40

33

17

4

5

1

Independents

2006 Oct 20-22

34

26

18

7

15

*

2006 Sep 15-17

33

23

25

7

12

1

2006 Jun 23-25

37

24

23

7

9

*

2002 Oct 3-6

22

25

25

10

17

1

1998 Oct 29-Nov 1

20

23

24

11

20

2

1998 Oct 23-25

19

18

31

12

19

1

1998 Oct 9-12

22

26

28

10

14

*

1998 Sep 23-24

22

27

23

12

14

2

Democrats

2006 Oct 20-22

53

23

14

5

4

1

2006 Sep 15-17

44

23

18

9

5

1

2006 Jun 23-25

49

28

15

3

5

*

2002 Oct 3-6

31

24

25

9

10

1

1998 Oct 29-Nov 1

32

25

26

7

9

1

1998 Oct 23-25

33

23

27

8

8

1

1998 Oct 9-12

28

25

29

9

7

2

1998 Sep 23-25

32

30

25

7

5

1



Would you be more likely to vote for a candidate for Congress who supports President Bush, or more likely to vote for a candidate who opposes President Bush, or would that not make much difference to your vote?

 


Supports


Opposes

No difference

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

Likely Voters

2006 Oct 20-22

27

41

32

1

Registered Voters

2006 Oct 20-22

23

38

38

1

2006 Jun 23-25

21

39

40

*

2005 Aug 28-30

23

33

43

1

2002 Apr 5-7

37

12

49

2

National Adults

2006 Oct 20-22

23

36

39

1

2006 Jun 23-25

20

40

40

*

2005 Aug 28-30

22

32

44

2

2002 Apr 5-7

36

12

50

2



Suppose the Democrats win control of Congress in this November's elections. Do you think the country would be better off, worse off, or would it not make any difference?

 

Better
off

Worse
off

No difference

No
opinion

2006 Oct 20-22

39%

27

32

2

2006 Sep 15-17

38%

25

33

5



Suppose the Democrats win control of Congress in this November's elections. Do you think the country would be better off, worse off, or would it not make any difference?Would you say much (better off/worse off), or only somewhat (better off/worse off)?

[COMBINED RESPONSES]

 

2006 Oct 20-22

%

Much better off

14

Somewhat better off

25

Somewhat worse off

14

Much worse off

13

No difference

32

No opinion

2



Would you say you will definitely vote for the (Republican/Democrat), or is it possible you would change your mind between now and the election?

Definitely vote Democratic

Voting Democratic, could change

Voting Republican, could change

Definitely vote Republican

Voting
for other candidate


No preference

%

%

%

%

%

%

Likely Voters

2006 Oct 6-8

47

12

10

26

2

3

2002 Oct 21-22

31

18

14

32

1

4

2002 Oct 3-6

33

15

14

33

*

5

Registered Voters

2006 Oct 6-8

41

17

14

21

3

6

2002 Oct 21-22

27

23

16

25

1

8

2002 Oct 3-6

27

21

16

27

1

8

2002 May 28-29

23

22

24

22

1

8

National Adults

2006 Oct 6-8

40

17

13

21

2

7

2002 Oct 21-22

26

22

16

24

1

11

2002 Oct 3-6

26

21

17

24

1

11

2002 May 28-29

21

23

24

21

1

10

Next, please tell me whether you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of each of the following parties. How about -- [ITEMS ROTATED]?

The Republican Party

 

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

%

%

%

2006 Oct 6-8

37

55

8

2006 Sep 7-10

42

53

4

2006 Jul 28-30

43

50

8

2006 Apr 28-30

36

58

5

2005 Dec 16-18

45

48

7

2005 Oct 13-16

40

50

10

2005 Sep 8-11

45

45

10

2005 Jul 22-24

46

45

9

2005 Apr 1-2

50

44

6

2005 Feb 25-27

51

42

7

2005 Feb 4-6

56

39

5

2004 Sep 13-15

55

41

4

2004 Sep 3-5

53

40

7

2004 Aug 23-25 ^

50

41

9

2004 Jul 30-Aug 1

47

45

8

2004 Jul 19-21 ^

50

43

7

2004 Jan 29-Feb 1

48

45

7

2004 Jan 2-5

52

40

8

2003 Sep 8-10

50

44

6

2003 Mar 29-30

56

33

11

2003 Jan 3-5

51

38

11

2002 Dec 16-17

51

38

11

2002 Nov 8-10

54

38

8

2002 Oct 21-22

53

35

12

2002 Sep 5-8

54

40

6

2002 Jul 26-28

55

36

9

2002 Jan 11-14

61

30

9

2001 Sep 7-10

47

48

5

2000 Nov 13-15

49

43

8

2000 Aug 4-5

54

37

9

2000 Jul 25-26

49

39

12

2000 Jan 7-10

53

41

6

1999 Nov 18-21

50

44

6

1999 Apr 30-May 2

47

44

9

1999 Feb 19-21

45

46

9

1999 Feb 12-13

40

54

6

1999 Feb 4-8

45

47

8

1999 Jan 8-10

40

52

8

1998 Dec 19-20

31

57

12

1998 Dec 15-16

43

47

10

1997 Oct 27-29

50

42

8

1996 Aug 30-Sep 1 †

50

45

5

1996 Aug 16-18 †

55

41

3

1996 Aug 5-7 †

51

44

5

1996 Apr 9-10

52

41

7

1995 Apr 17-19

52

42

6

1992 Jul 6-8 †

53

39

8

^

Asked of a half sample.

Based on registered voters.



The Democratic Party

 

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

%

%

%

2006 Oct 6-8

52

38

10

2006 Sep 7-10

54

40

5

2006 Jul 28-30

52

40

8

2006 Apr 28-30

48

45

8

2005 Dec 16-18

46

45

9

2005 Oct 13-16

52

36

12

2005 Sep 8-11

47

41

12

2005 Jul 22-24

52

38

10

2005 Apr 1-2

50

42

8

2005 Feb 25-27

52

41

7

2005 Feb 4-6

46

47

7

2004 Sep 13-15

49

45

6

2004 Sep 3-5

50

41

9

2004 Aug 23-25 ^

54

36

10

2004 Jul 30-Aug 1

55

37

8

2004 Jul 19-21 ^

48

41

11

2004 Jan 29-Feb 1

59

34

7

2004 Jan 2-5

47

44

9

2003 Sep 8-10

49

45

6

2003 Mar 29-30

49

39

12

2003 Jan 3-5

52

36

12

2002 Dec 16-17

52

37

11

2002 Nov 8-10

48

42

10

2002 Oct 21-22

58

30

12

2002 Sep 5-8

56

38

6

2002 Jul 26-28

55

34

11

2002 Jan 11-14

55

33

12

2001 Sep 7-10

56

38

6

2000 Nov 13-15

53

38

9

2000 Aug 4-5

53

38

9

2000 Jul 25-26

56

35

9

2000 Jan 7-10

61

33

6

1999 Nov 18-21

51

41

8

1999 Apr 30-May 2

53

37

10

1999 Feb 19-21

55

37

8

1999 Feb 12-13

56

38

6

1999 Feb 4-8

57

37

6

1999 Jan 8-10

57

35

8

1998 Dec 19-20

57

30

13

1998 Dec 15-16

58

32

10

1997 Oct 27-29

54

39

7

1996 Aug 30-Sep 1 †

60

36

4

1996 Aug 16-18 †

55

41

4

1996 Aug 5-7 †

57

38

5

1996 Apr 9-10

55

38

7

1995 Apr 17-19

51

43

6

1992 Jul 6-8 †

54

38

8

^

Asked of a half sample.

Based on registered voters.



How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for Congress this year -- will it be -- extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? How about -- [RANDOM ORDER]?

A. Corruption in government

 

Extremely
important

Very
important

Moderately
important

Not that
important

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2006 Oct 6-8

48

38

11

2

1

2006 Jun 23-25

49

36

12

3

1

2006 Jan 6-8

43

38

15

3

1

2005 Oct 21-23

45

36

15

3

1



B. The economy

 

2006 Oct 6-8

40

42

16

2

*

2006 Jun 23-25

45

40

13

2

1

2006 Jan 6-8

38

45

14

1

1

2005 Oct 21-23

43

41

15

1

*

2002 Sep 20-22 ^

37

44

17

2

*

2002 Aug 19-21 ^

34

44

17

3

2

^

WORDING: Economic conditions



C. Gas prices

 

 

2006 Oct 6-8

34

31

25

10

*

2006 Jun 23-25

41

32

19

8

*

2006 Jan 6-8

33

33

26

8

1

2005 Oct 21-23

41

29

22

8

*



D. Health care

 

2006 Oct 6-8

43

37

15

4

1

2006 Jun 23-25

44

36

17

3

*

2006 Jan 6-8

43

39

15

2

1

2005 Oct 21-23

42

37

18

3

*

2002 Sep 20-22 ^

35

39

22

4

*

^

Asked of a half sample.



E. Immigration

 

2006 Oct 6-8

33

32

23

11

1

2006 Jun 23-25

33

32

23

11

1

2006 Jan 6-8

26

35

29

9

1



F. The situation in Iraq

 

2006 Oct 6-8

48

38

11

2

1

2006 Jun 23-25

55

34

8

3

1

2006 Jan 6-8

45

40

11

3

1

2005 Oct 21-23

44

37

13

4

2



G. Terrorism

 

2006 Oct 6-8

48

36

12

4

1

2006 Jun 23-25

47

34

15

4

*

2006 Jan 6-8

45

35

16

3

1

2005 Oct 21-23

45

32

19

4

*

2002 Sep 20-22 ^

47

36

13

3

1

^

Asked of a half sample.



H. Moral standards in the country

 

2006 Oct 6-8

36

34

18

11

1



Do you think the Republicans in Congress or the Democrats in Congress would do a better job of dealing with each of the following issues and problems? How about -- [RANDOM ORDER]?

A. Corruption in government

 

 



Republicans



Democrats

No difference (vol.)


No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2006 Oct 6-8

28

49

16

7

2006 Jan 20-22 ^

31

40

19

10

2006 Jan 6-8 ^

32

44

19

6

2005 Oct 21-23

33

44

18

5

^

Asked as a stand alone question; not in rotation with other issues.



B. The economy

 

2006 Oct 6-8

36

54

7

4

2006 Mar 10-12

38

53

4

5

2005 Oct 21-23

38

50

9

3

2003 Jul 18-20

36

53

7

4

2003 Jan 3-5

43

42

10

5

2002 Jul 26-28

37

42

13

8

2002 Jun 28-30

44

40

10

6

2002 May 28-29 ^

43

34

13

10

^

Asked of a half sample.



C. Gas prices

 

 

2006 Oct 6-8

28

54

11

7

2005 Oct 21-23

31

51

13

5



D. Health care

 

2006 Oct 6-8

25

62

8

4

2005 Oct 21-23

30

59

7

4

2003 Jan 3-5 ^ †

35

50

9

6

^

Asked of a half sample.

WORDING: Health care costs



E. Immigration

 

2006 Oct 6-8

34

47

12

8



F. The situation in Iraq

 

2006 Oct 6-8

35

52

6

7

2006 Mar 10-12

40

48

6

6

2005 Oct 21-23

40

46

10

4

2003 Jul 18-20

51

36

7

6

2003 Jan 3-5 ^

53

29

12

6

^

Asked of a half sample.



G. Terrorism

 

2006 Oct 6-8

41

46

7

6

2006 Mar 10-12

45

41

7

7

2005 Oct 21-23

49

38

9

4

2003 Jul 18-20

55

29

10

6

2003 Jan 3-5 ^

55

27

13

5

2002 Oct 21-22

52

23

14

11

2002 Sep 20-22 ^

56

27

10

7

2002 Jun 28-30

57

22

13

8

2002 May 28-29 ^

51

19

19

11

^

Asked of a half sample.



D. Moral standards in the country

 

2006 Oct 6-8

37

44

13

6



Is that more a vote for the Democratic candidate or against the Republican candidate?

 


For the Democrat


Against the Republican

Both equally (vol.)


No
opinion

%

%

%

%

Registered Voters

2006 Sep 15-17 ^

52

38

6

4

1994 Oct 18-19

66

26

5

3

National Adults

2006 Sep 15-17 †

52

37

6

5

1994 Oct 18-19

66

27

5

2

^ BASED ON –423—REGISTERED VOTERS PLANNING TO VOTE FOR THE DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATE (±5 PCT. PTS.)

† BASED ON –472—NATIONAL ADULTS PLANNING TO VOTE FOR THE DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATE (±5 PCT. PTS.)



Is that more a vote for the Republican candidate or against the Democratic candidate?

 


For the Republican


Against the Democrat

Both equally (vol.)


No
opinion

%

%

%

%

Registered Voters

2006 Sep 15-17 ^

69

21

6

5

1994 Oct 18-19

58

34

6

1

National Adults

2006 Sep 15-17 †

68

22

6

4

1994 Oct 18-19

59

34

6

1

^ BASED ON –394—REGISTERED VOTERS PLANNING TO VOTE FOR THE REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE (±5 PCT. PTS.)

† BASED ON –439—NATIONAL ADULTS PLANNING TO VOTE FOR THE REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE (±5 PCT. PTS.)



Which ONE of the following issues is MOST important to you when you think about your vote for Congress this year – [ROTATED: economic conditions, health care, the situation in Iraq, illegal immigration, terrorism (or) education]?

 


2006 Sep 15-17

Likely
voters

Registered voters

National adults

%

%

%

The situation in Iraq

27

26

27

Terrorism

19

17

16

Economic conditions

18

18

18

Illegal immigration

14

13

13

Healthcare

10

11

11

Education

7

9

9

Other (vol.)

3

2

2

None (vol.)

1

1

1

No opinion

2

2

2



Do you think the Republicans in Congress or the Democrats in Congress would do a better job of dealing with this issue?

 



Republicans



Democrats

No difference (vol.)


No

opinion

%

%

%

%

Likely Voters

2006 Sep 15-17 ^

42

44

8

6

2002 Oct 3-6

41

42

10

7

Registered Voters

2006 Sep 15-17 †

36

46

9

9

2002 Oct 3-6

39

41

11

9

National Adults

2006 Sep 15-17 ‡

35

44

9

12

2002 Oct 3-6

37

40

11

12

^

BASED ON –577—LIKELY VOTERS WHO IDENTIFIED AN ISSUE AS MOST IMPORTANT TO THEIR VOTE IN THE ELECTIONS THIS NOVEMBER (±5 PCT. PTS.)

BASED ON –858—REGISTERED VOTERS WHO IDENTIFIED AN ISSUE AS MOST IMPORTANT TO THEIR VOTE IN THE ELECTIONS THIS NOVEMBER (±4 PCT. PTS.)

BASED ON –972—NATIONAL ADULTS WHO IDENTIFIED AN ISSUE AS MOST IMPORTANT TO THEIR VOTE IN THE ELECTIONS THIS NOVEMBER (±4 PCT. PTS.)



Would you be more likely to vote for a candidate for Congress who supports President Bush on the war in Iraq, more likely to vote for a candidate who opposes President Bush on the war in Iraq, or would that not make much difference to your vote?

 

Supports Bush on Iraq

Opposes Bush on Iraq


Not much difference


No
opinion

%

%

%

%

Likely Voters

2006 Sep 15-17

39

40

20

2

Registered Voters

2006 Sep 15-17

34

37

27

2

2006 Aug 18-20

26

35

37

2

National Adults

2006 Sep 15-17

33

36

29

2

2006 Aug 18-20

25

35

38

1



Would you be more likely to vote for a candidate for Congress who supports President Bush on terrorism, more likely to vote for a candidate who opposes President Bush on terrorism, or would that not make much difference to your vote?

 

Supports Bush on terrorism

Opposes Bush on terrorism


Not much difference


No
opinion

%

%

%

%

Likely Voters

2006 Sep 15-17

45

28

26

1

Registered Voters

2006 Sep 15-17

43

24

31

3

National Adults

2006 Sep 15-17

42

23

32

2



When you vote for a candidate for the House of Representatives, which is more important to you – [ROTATED: his or her ability to do things that help people in your Congressional district (or) that you agree with his or her positions on major national issues]?

 

Ability to
help people in district

Agree with positions
on issues


Both
(vol.)


No
opinion

%

%

%

%

Registered Voters

2006 Jun 23-25

39

52

9

1

2005 Oct 21-23

45

46

8

1

2002 Oct 3-6

38

53

5

3

2002 Apr 5-7

45

48

6

1

1994 Oct 22-25

50

39

10

1

1992 Apr 22-24

47

41

9

3

National Adults

2006 Jun 23-25

39

51

8

1

2005 Oct 21-23

45

45

8

2

2002 Oct 3-6

39

53

5

3

2002 Apr 5-7

45

48

5

2

1994 Oct 22-25

52

36

10

2

Likely Voters

2002 Oct 3-6

35

58

6

1

1994 Oct 22-25

46

42

11

1



How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for Congress this year -- will it be -- extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? How about -- [RANDOM ORDER]?

A. Abortion

 

Extremely
important

Very
important

Moderately
important

Not that
important

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2006 Jun 23-25

27

24

24

24

1

2006 Jan 6-8

27

25

25

21

1

2002 Sep 20-22

18

28

24

28

2



B. Corruption in government

 

2006 Jun 23-25

49

36

12

3

1

2006 Jan 6-8

43

38

15

3

1

2005 Oct 21-23

45

36

15

3

1



C. The economy

 

2006 Jun 23-25

45

40

13

2

1

2006 Jan 6-8

38

45

14

1

1

2005 Oct 21-23

43

41

15

1

*

2002 Sep 20-22 ^

37

44

17

2

*

2002 Aug 19-21 ^

34

44

17

3

2

^

WORDING: Economic conditions



D. Gas prices

 

 

2006 Jun 23-25

41

32

19

8

*

2006 Jan 6-8

33

33

26

8

1

2005 Oct 21-23

41

29

22

8

*



E. Health care

 

2006 Jun 23-25

44

36

17

3

*

2006 Jan 6-8

43

39

15

2

1

2005 Oct 21-23

42

37

18

3

*

2002 Sep 20-22 ^

35

39

22

4

*

^

Asked of a half sample.



F. Immigration

 

2006 Jun 23-25

33

32

23

11

1

2006 Jan 6-8

26

35

29

9

1



G. The situation in Iraq

 

2006 Jun 23-25

55

34

8

3

1

2006 Jan 6-8

45

40

11

3

1

2005 Oct 21-23

44

37

13

4

2



H. Same-sex marriage

 

2006 Jun 23-25

24

21

16

38

1



I. Social Security

 

2006 Jun 23-25

39

37

21

4

*

2006 Jan 6-8

36

43

18

3

1

2005 Oct 21-23

38

37

20

5

*

2002 Sep 20-22 ^

34

37

24

5

*

2002 Aug 19-21

34

36

21

7

2

^

Asked of a half sample.



J. Taxes

 

2006 Jun 23-25

33

36

26

5

*

2006 Jan 6-8

33

38

24

4

1

2005 Oct 21-23

35

38

23

3

1

2002 Sep 20-22 ^

27

33

32

7

1

^

Asked of a half sample.



K. Terrorism

 

2006 Jun 23-25

47

34

15

4

*

2006 Jan 6-8

45

35

16

3

1

2005 Oct 21-23

45

32

19

4

*

2002 Sep 20-22 ^

47

36

13

3

1

^

Asked of a half sample.



Do you think the Republicans in Congress or the Democrats in Congress would do a better job of dealing with each of the following issues and problems? How about -- [RANDOM ORDER]?

A. Abortion

 



Republicans



Democrats

No difference (vol.)


No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2006 Jun 23-25

33

48

12

7



B. Corruption in government

 

 

2006 Jun 23-25

24

44

26

6



C. The economy

 

2006 Jun 23-25

35

50

11

4



D. Gas prices

 

 

2006 Jun 23-25

22

52

19

7



E. Health care

 

2006 Jun 23-25

25

59

12

4



F. Immigration

 

2006 Jun 23-25

38

40

15

6



G. The situation in Iraq

 

2006 Jun 23-25

37

47

11

5



H. Same-sex marriage

 

2006 Jun 23-25

34

47

12

8



I. Social Security

 

2006 Jun 23-25

28

55

12

4



J. Taxes

 

2006 Jun 23-25

36

50

10

5



K. Terrorism

 

2006 Jun 23-25

46

35

15

4



Regardless of how you, yourself, plan to vote, which party do you think will win control of the U.S. House of Representatives in the Congressional elections this fall – [ROTATED: The Republicans (or) the Democrats]?

 

Republicans

Democrats

No opinion

%

%

%

2006 Apr 28-30

39

52

9

1962 Sep 20-25

16

60

24

1958 Sep 10-15

12

67

22

1947 Oct 12-17

27

52

22

1946 Sep 27-Oct 2

63

37

--

1946 Jul 26-31

46

38

16

1946 Jun 28-Jul 3

45

35

20



How important will the issue of Iraq be to your vote for Congress this year -- will it be -- the most important issue, very important, but not the most important issue, moderately important, or not that important?

 

Most important issue

Very important

Moderately important

Not that important

No
opinion

Registered Voters

2006 Mar 10-12

18%

43

28

10

1

National Adults

2006 Mar 10-12

18%

42

28

11

1




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