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Election 2024

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Â鶹´«Ã½AV's Economic Confidence Index improved in August, but inflation and job market concerns persist.

Sixty-nine percent of U.S. adults say they are more enthusiastic about voting than usual, up from 54% in April, with Democrats driving the increased enthusiasm.

Kamala Harris is enjoying increases in her favorable and job approval ratings, particularly among Democrats.

President Joe Biden's latest 36% job approval rating is the lowest of his presidency.

Though neither is viewed positively overall ahead of the first presidential debate, Trump is viewed more positively than Biden on several measures.

Incumbents' approval ratings usually rise among their party's supporters in reelection years. Among independents, the historical pattern is mixed.

Pro-choice voters are showing record-high intensity on the abortion issue, and the pro-choice segment of the public remains historically large.

Joe Biden and Donald Trump tied in favorability among Americans when rated using a 10-point scale, just before Trump's felony conviction last week. In the 2016 and 2020 campaigns, Trump trailed the Democratic nominee on this measure.

President Joe Biden and Congress continue to earn relatively low job approval ratings from the public.

Seven in 10 Americans say they have given a lot of thought to the election, on par with readings in 2008 and 2020 when voter turnout was high.

Americans' economic evaluations worsened in April, the first time that has occurred since October, with Â鶹´«Ã½AV's Economic Confidence Index Score falling to -29.

Joe Biden's 38.7% average job approval rating during his 13th quarter in office is essentially unchanged from the previous quarter and is the lowest for any president's 13th quarter historically.

The 2024 election isn't sparking unusually high or low enthusiasm among the American public. Republicans hold a slight enthusiasm edge over Democrats.

Americans are less likely now than in 2020 to think Joe Biden possesses a number of positive personal qualities. He still rates far better than Donald Trump for likability, but much worse than Trump for strong leadership.

Roughly equal percentages of Americans say only Trump, only Biden or neither would make a good president. Independents are skeptical of both.

Since President Joe Biden took office, Americans' satisfaction with specific aspects of the country has mostly stalled or diminished, falling most on the nation's military strength, immigration, gun policy and energy policy.

Biden's approval rating, Americans' satisfaction with the country's direction and economic confidence suggest Biden faces an uphill climb to win a second term.

Americans who approve of Joe Biden's job performance mostly offer general, positive statements, while his critics cite specific, issue-related failures.

The increase in Americans' identification as politically liberal over the past few decades stems from bigger shifts among women than men.

Â鶹´«Ã½AV's party ID trends since 1999 show Democrats' advantages among Black and Hispanic adults shrinking to new lows, while men -- already in the Republicans' camp -- have moved even further in that direction.